This blog is intended to give my students access to important economic information and analysis along with the reactions to this by asset markets using both technical and intermarket analysis.
Wednesday, March 23, 2005
RSI as leading indicator
While macro courses always refer to a traditional set of variables as being the only leading economic indicators considered, one of which is the stock market, we recently saw a leading indicator of the stock market. The $INDU chart shows the recent daily behavior of the Dow-Jones Industrial Average. Notice that a declining RSI that was occurring as the DJIA attained a higher peak. This BEARISH DIVERGENCE is a leading indicator of future stock price declines.
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